Orioles
Sun, Jun 21, 8:10 PM
Dodgers
Orioles vs Dodgers Prediction Today — AI MLB Pick
Orioles
Brandon Young has quietly made this a real pitching matchup, not just another "Dodgers at home" game. Young is 5-2 with a 3.18 ERA and a 2.59 ERA over his last 7 starts, while Emmet Sheehan comes in at 3-4 with a 4.76 ERA; Baltimore also just beat Los Angeles 3-2 in this series. The Dodgers are 49-27 and 26-12 at home, but +180 on the Orioles at BetMGM pays $180 on a $100 bet, and that price is big for an underdog with the better starter on paper.
Team Comparison
All Markets
AI Analysis
Brandon Young has quietly made this a real pitching matchup, not just another "Dodgers at home" game. Young is 5-2 with a 3.18 ERA and a 2.59 ERA over his last 7 starts, while Emmet Sheehan comes in at 3-4 with a 4.76 ERA; Baltimore also just beat Los Angeles 3-2 in this series. The Dodgers are 49-27 and 26-12 at home, but +180 on the Orioles at BetMGM pays $180 on a $100 bet, and that price is big for an underdog with the better starter on paper.
Spread Analysis
This series has already given us a 6-5 game and a 3-2 game, and the Dodgers are scoring just 3.6 runs per game over their last five. Brandon Young's 3.18 ERA gives Baltimore a real shot to win outright, so Orioles +1.5 works even if Los Angeles pulls out another one-run game. With this matchup profile, asking the Dodgers to win by multiple runs is a tougher sell.
Totals Analysis
Emmet Sheehan's 4.76 ERA is the number that pulls this game toward the over, because Baltimore does not need a huge night to do its part. The Dodgers average 5.3 runs per game and the Orioles allow 5.1, while Baltimore still scores 4.6 per game, so a total of 9 sits right in the middle of both teams' normal scoring range. Brandon Young has been sharp, but one crooked inning can get this game moving fast.
More MLB Predictions
Every MLB Pick.
Every Edge
Our AI model analyzes 18 factors per MLB game — FIP, park factors, bullpen usage, weather, and sharp movement.
3-day free trial • Cancel anytime