AI Model Performance · Last 90 Days

Da Vinci Bets Track Record

Every pick logged at generation time, settled automatically from official scores. No retroactive changes — just the numbers.

52.1%overall win rate · 2,029 wins out of 3,892 picksCurrent streak: L1

Win Rate by Sport & Market

SportMarketPicksW / LWin RateROI
NBAMoneyline175114/6165.1%+24.4%
Spread14266/7646.5%-11.2%
Totals15373/8047.7%-8.9%
NHLMoneyline200116/8458.0%+10.8%
Spread18698/8852.7%+0.6%
Totals18497/8752.7%+0.7%
MLBMoneyline1037553/48453.3%+1.9%
Spread1111562/54950.6%-3.4%
Totals704350/35449.7%-5.0%

ROI assumes $100 flat bets at -110 juice. All picks auto-settled from official scores.

Win Rate by Confidence Tier

70+% conf
57.4%
54W / 40L
60-69% conf
52.1%
672W / 619L
55-59% conf
52.1%
1005W / 925L
50-54% conf
51.6%
298W / 279L

Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate is the Da Vinci Bets model?

Our model tracks a verified win rate across all settled picks since launch. NBA moneyline picks lead at 60%+ win rate over 700+ picks. All results are settled automatically from official game scores — no cherry-picking or retroactive changes.

How are Da Vinci Bets predictions verified?

Every pick is logged at the time it's generated with the predicted team, confidence score, and current odds. After games end, results are automatically settled against official scores and stored in BigQuery. Our win/loss counts include every pick we made — wins, losses, and pushes.

What confidence tier should I focus on?

Picks at 70%+ model confidence historically outperform lower tiers. Our HIGH CONVICTION picks (≥62% confidence) show the strongest ROI because the model is more selective. Lower confidence picks are shown as VALUE PLAY and have tighter edges.

What sports and markets does Da Vinci Bets cover?

We publish predictions for NBA, NFL, NHL, and MLB across moneyline, spread, and totals markets. Each pick includes model analysis, closing-line value tracking, and confidence scores updated every 30 minutes.

Is Da Vinci Bets free?

Today's top pick preview is free — see the team, market, and confidence tier. Premium ($8/month or $80/year with a 3-day free trial) unlocks all picks with full analysis, confidence scores, and the Parlay Lab.

Models updating now

Every Pick. Every Edge

Our AI model analyzes 15–18 factors per game across NBA, NFL, NHL & MLB — moneyline, spread & totals — with verified win rates. Don't miss a single edge.

52.1%
Verified Win Rate
3,892+
Picks Tracked
4
Major Sports
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