AI Model Performance · Last 90 Days

Da Vinci Bets Track Record

Every pick logged at generation time, settled automatically from official scores. No retroactive changes — just the numbers.

50.6%overall win rate · 978 wins out of 1,932 picksCurrent streak: W2

Past performance does not guarantee future results. For informational purposes only — 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Win Rate by Sport & Market

SportMarketW / LWin Rate
NBAMoneyline9/469.2%
breakeven 59.7%
Spread1/150.0%
breakeven 52.4%
Totals2/433.3%
breakeven 52.2%
NHLMoneyline8/657.1%
breakeven 57.6%
Spread7/653.8%
breakeven 48.8%
Totals6/554.5%
breakeven 51.3%
MLBMoneyline514/45353.2%
breakeven 55.6%
Spread263/30846.1%
breakeven 49.0%
Totals168/15552.0%
breakeven 51.8%

Breakeven is the win rate each market’s average price requires — a pick on a heavy favourite has to win far more often just to break even. CLV compares our published moneyline price to where the market closed, shown only where it is honestly measurable (moneyline, 10+ priced picks). Every pick here was auto-settled from official scores, wins and losses alike — nothing is selected after the fact.

Win Rate by Confidence Tier

70+% conf
41.4%
breakeven 48.7%
12W / 17L
60-69% conf
51.8%
breakeven 52.9%
231W / 215L
55-59% conf
50.6%
breakeven 53.3%
470W / 458L
50-54% conf
51.3%
breakeven 52.1%
265W / 252L

Tiers cover picks that recorded a model confidence at pick time; a small number of early picks settled without one appear in the headline totals only.

Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate is the Da Vinci Bets model?

Our model's verified win rate across all settled picks is published live on this page, broken down by sport, market, and confidence tier. All results settle automatically from official scores — no cherry-picking or retroactive changes.

How are Da Vinci Bets predictions verified?

Every pick is logged at the time it's generated with the predicted team, confidence score, and current odds. After games end, results are automatically settled against official scores and stored in BigQuery. Our win/loss counts include every pick we made — wins, losses, and pushes.

What confidence tier should I focus on?

Confidence is a model output, not a guarantee — judge every tier against the breakeven line shown beside it, because a pick only makes money when its win rate clears the price it was offered at. Our public tier table shows the mid-confidence tiers carrying most of the volume; the small 70%+ bucket is heavy favourites at short prices and has not outperformed. Picks below our confidence floor are never published.

What sports and markets does Da Vinci Bets cover?

We publish predictions for NBA, NFL, NHL, and MLB across moneyline, spread, and totals markets, plus ATP and WTA tennis moneylines on their own pages. The table on this page covers the team sports; tennis records are shown on the tennis prediction pages. Each pick includes model analysis, closing-line value tracking, and confidence scores updated every 30 minutes.

Is Da Vinci Bets free?

Today's top pick preview is free — see the team, market, and confidence tier. Premium ($14.99/month or $124.99/year with a 3-day free trial) unlocks all picks with full analysis, confidence scores, and the Parlay Lab.

Models updating now

Every Pick. Every Edge

Our AI model analyzes 15–18 factors per game across NBA, NFL, NHL, MLB & Tennis — with verified win rates. Don't miss a single edge.

50.6%
Verified Win Rate
1,932+
Picks Tracked
5
Sports Covered
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