Pirates
Thu, May 7, 7:40 PM
Diamondbacks
Pirates vs Diamondbacks MLB Predictions
Pirates
Paul Skenes just blanked Arizona for eight innings, and Pittsburgh has backed that up by scoring 5.6 runs per game over its last five. Arizona is 3-7 in its last 10, scoring 3.6 a game lately, and the staff is still missing Corbin Burnes, A.J. Puk and Justin Martinez. At -110 on BetMGM, you're risking $110 to win $100 on a Pirates team the model has at 61% to win.
Team Comparison
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AI Analysis
Paul Skenes just blanked Arizona for eight innings, and Pittsburgh has backed that up by scoring 5.6 runs per game over its last five. Arizona is 3-7 in its last 10, scoring 3.6 a game lately, and the staff is still missing Corbin Burnes, A.J. Puk and Justin Martinez. At -110 on BetMGM, you're risking $110 to win $100 on a Pirates team the model has at 61% to win.
Spread Analysis
Arizona has dropped seven of 10 and is scoring just 3.6 runs per game over its last five, which makes it tough to create separation. Pittsburgh has allowed 3.4 per game in that span, so +1.5 gives you room even if the Pirates lose by one. In a game priced near even, that's the better side of the run line.
Totals Analysis
Recent scoring has been messy: two of Pittsburgh's last five finished with 1 total run, but the other three landed on 9, 10 and 24. Arizona is scoring 3.6 runs per game and allowing 3.4 over its last five, which makes 9 feel close to fair. With no totals pick in the data, this is a pass for me.
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