Twins
Thu, May 7, 5:05 PM
Nationals
Twins vs Nationals MLB Predictions
Nationals
CJ Abrams just blew this series open with a grand slam and 5 RBIs, but the cleaner edge is on the mound. Washington is lined up with Jake Irvin's 4.85 ERA and 1.18 WHIP against Simeon Woods Richardson, who has a 6.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP, and the Nationals have played the better ball lately at 6-4 over their last 10. FanDuel hanging -108 is close to a pick'em price. That's enough value against a Twins team that's 6-10 on the road.
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AI Analysis
CJ Abrams just blew this series open with a grand slam and 5 RBIs, but the cleaner edge is on the mound. Washington is lined up with Jake Irvin's 4.85 ERA and 1.18 WHIP against Simeon Woods Richardson, who has a 6.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP, and the Nationals have played the better ball lately at 6-4 over their last 10. FanDuel hanging -108 is close to a pick'em price. That's enough value against a Twins team that's 6-10 on the road.
Spread Analysis
Minnesota's pitching has been getting hit hard, and Woods Richardson's 6.30 ERA with a 1.70 WHIP is a big reason why. The Twins are allowing 7.8 runs per game over their last five, so Nationals -1.5 makes sense if you're betting Washington to win by 2 or more against a road team that's 6-10 away from home.
Totals Analysis
Yesterday's 17-run game is doing a lot of work in this number. Outside that outlier, Washington has played three games with 7 total runs or fewer in its last four, and Minnesota has scored 4 or fewer in four of its last five. Under 9 works if this settles back into the kind of mid-range scoring game these 16-20 teams usually play.
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