MLB Predictions
Yankees

Yankees

VS

Tue, May 12, 10:35 PM

Orioles

Orioles

Yankees vs Orioles MLB Predictions

AI Verdict

Yankees

Baltimore just stole Monday's opener 3-2, and that loss actually makes the Yankees more interesting tonight. New York is still 26-15, scoring 5.2 runs per game while allowing 3.5, and it already beat Baltimore four straight earlier this month by scores of 7-2, 9-4, 11-3, and 12-1. The Orioles are 18-23, just 10-11 at home, and still without Jackson Holliday and Jordan Westburg. DraftKings has the Yankees at -168, meaning you'd risk $168 to win $100, and that's still fair for the better team.

63%
Confidence
Yankees-156
Orioles+129

Team Comparison

5-5
Last 10
4-6
L4
Streak
W2

All Markets

Moneyline
Yankees63% confidence

AI Analysis

Baltimore just stole Monday's opener 3-2, and that loss actually makes the Yankees more interesting tonight. New York is still 26-15, scoring 5.2 runs per game while allowing 3.5, and it already beat Baltimore four straight earlier this month by scores of 7-2, 9-4, 11-3, and 12-1. The Orioles are 18-23, just 10-11 at home, and still without Jackson Holliday and Jordan Westburg. DraftKings has the Yankees at -168, meaning you'd risk $168 to win $100, and that's still fair for the better team.

Spread Analysis

New York hasn't made much separation lately, scoring 3.4 runs per game over its last five while Baltimore is allowing 3.4 in that same stretch. That's why Orioles +1.5 makes sense even against the stronger club — you cash if Baltimore wins or loses by one, and recent form points to a tighter game than those early-May blowouts.

Totals Analysis

Will Warren brings a 3.46 ERA into a game where both lineups have cooled off. Baltimore is scoring 2.6 runs per game over its last five and New York 3.4, with those two teams' last five-game samples averaging 6.6 total runs. That lines up with the under.

Yankees 26-15 with 12-9 road markOrioles 18-23 and 10-11 at homeYankees scoring 5.2 and allowing 3.5 per gameYankees won 4 straight over Baltimore May 1-4
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