Montréal Canadiens
Montreal has allowed just 2.2 goals per game over their last five, a defensive lockdown that travels well into the postseason. Buffalo's offense has dipped to 2.8 goals per game in that same stretch, and losing Noah Ostlund thins an already quiet forward group. The Canadiens are 24-15-2 at home, and playoff crowds turn a building into a fortress. With the line shading toward the visitors, Montreal at plus money is the sharp play.