Rays
Tampa Bay has been a fortress at home — 14-4 with a pitching staff allowing just 2.8 runs per game over the last 10. The Rays have won eight of ten and are outscoring opponents by nearly a run per game in that stretch. Miami is 6-11 on the road and missing three pitchers to injury, which only widens the gap. The moneyline price on Tampa Bay looks like a clear value play given the form disparity.